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Per-prediction updates and Q&A on Professor Jiang Xueqin's geopolitical forecasts. 16 prediction updates · 18 Q&A posts.
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Q&A October 5, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Iran Prediction: Yes, He Called the US-Iran War
Yes. The Jiang Xueqin Iran war prediction is not a vague warning about Middle East instability. In April 2024, he predicted the United States would go to war with Iran within two to four years, roughly 2026 to 2028 (P011). That prediction…
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Q&A October 2, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Accuracy: What His Track Record Shows So Far
As of 2026-10-02, Jiang Xueqin’s tracked predictive history accuracy is 77% among resolved predictions: 17 confirmed and 5 wrong. That is 22 resolved calls out of 414 tracked. The number is real, but it is not a verdict on all 414. Most…
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Q&A October 2, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Economy and Dollar Predictions: Stress, Not Collapse
Jiang Xueqin's tracked predictions on the global economy and the dollar describe a dollar-empire under mounting stress, not a single dated dollar collapse. As of 2026-10-02, the project tracks 414 predictions: 17 confirmed, 5 wrong…
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Q&A October 1, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Taiwan Call: No China Invasion, Not a War
Did Jiang Xueqin predict a China-Taiwan war? No. The question most readers actually mean is will China invade Taiwan?, and on that the strongest signal in the tracker runs the other way. Jiang's central Taiwan call, logged as P069 and…
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Q&A September 30, 2026
What Jiang Xueqin Predicted About Israel: Pax Judaica and War
Jiang Xueqin's most-cited confirmed call in the Israel file is not about Israel itself: he predicted Iran would attack GCC countries—Dubai, Bahrain, Qatar—when war begins (P027), and that Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz (P026)…
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Q&A September 27, 2026
What Did Jiang Xueqin Predict About Ukraine? War Without End
Jiang Xueqin's central Ukraine prediction is that the war never ends — not with a Russian collapse, not with a Ukrainian victory, and not with a negotiated settlement. Across lectures logged between April 2024 and July 2026, the…
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Q&A September 26, 2026
Jiang Xueqin YouTube: Where to Watch His Lectures Online
Jiang Xueqin's lectures are available online in three main places: his YouTube channel, Predictive History; his Substack of the same name; and the by-video index on this tracker, which maps each source lecture to the predictions…
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Correction: Jiang's World War III Forecast Is Still Open
On July 29, 2026, this tracker marked Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction P021 as wrong. That verdict was a mistake, and we have withdrawn it. The prediction is open again.
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Q&A September 25, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Wrong Predictions: Every Miss We've Tracked
As of 2026-09-25, six of the 400 predictions in this tracker are scored wrong. That is the whole answer to the headline question, and it is deliberately unglamorous: 18 calls are confirmed, six are wrong, 24 have resolved at all, and 303…
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Putin's Beijing Visit Days After Trump's Trip Confirms Jiang's Forecast
Vladimir Putin traveled to Beijing and met with Xi Jinping days after Donald J. Trump left China, NPR reported on May 20, 2026. The meeting, which NPR described as an occasion for the two leaders to hail their friendship and growing energy…
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EU–US Trade War of 2025 Confirms a Forecast by Professor Jiang Xueqin
DW.com reported on July 28, 2025, that the United States and the European Union fought an open trade war in 2025, after Washington imposed 25% steel and aluminum tariffs covering the EU in March and 20% tariffs on EU goods in April; the…
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Q&A September 25, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Confirmed Predictions: What He Got Right
As of 2026-09-25, Jiang Xueqin confirmed predictions number 16, against 6 wrong, 361 still pending or unverifiable, and 22 resolved overall. That puts headline accuracy at 73% among resolved predictions. The confirmed list is not a random…
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Q&A September 25, 2026
Is Jiang Xueqin Credible? His Track Record Says Mostly Yes
Yes—provisionally. As of 2026-09-25, JiangPredictions.com tracks 400 predictions from Jiang Xueqin's lectures. Twenty-two have resolved: 16 confirmed, 6 wrong. That is a headline accuracy of 73% among resolved calls. The catch is that…
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Q&A September 24, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Methodology: Structure First, Personalities Second
Jiang Xueqin predicts by working from structure rather than personalities. Geography, military balance, economic incentives and the position of a declining power set the range of likely outcomes, and historical parallels suggest which…
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Q&A September 23, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Best Geopolitical Predictions for 2026
Jiang Xueqin's most consequential 2026 predictions aren't hypothetical anymore — they're the ones that already happened. The strongest cluster is the US-Iran war he called back in April 2024, most of which resolved into…
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Q&A September 22, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Predicted World War 3 — Here's His Track Record
Jiang Xueqin, the geopolitical analyst behind the YouTube channel @PredictiveHistory, is the person most directly on record predicting World War 3 — not as a single cinematic event, but as a framework laid out in his Substack essay…
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Q&A September 21, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's China Forecast: No Taiwan Invasion, Growing US Squeeze
Jiang Xueqin predicts that China will stay out of other countries' wars and will not invade Taiwan, while the United States tightens the squeeze on Beijing's energy supplies and sea lanes and the Chinese economy proves more…
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Q&A September 20, 2026
Jiang Xueqin's Russia Predictions: Mostly Long Bets Still Open
Jiang Xueqin's Russia predictions are mostly long-range bets that have not been settled. As of 2026-09-20, none of the 16 predictions confirmed so far is about Russia, two of the six marked wrong are, and the rest of the Russia record…
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Q&A September 19, 2026
Pax Judaica Is Jiang Xueqin's Forecast of an Israeli-Led Order
Pax Judaica is Professor Jiang Xueqin's name for the order he expects to follow an American defeat in Iran: an Israeli-led system, which he also calls the "Empire of Israel" or Greater Israel, built on the military…
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Q&A September 17, 2026
Predictive History: Jiang Xueqin's Framework for Reading Geopolitics
Predictive history is a method for forecasting geopolitical events by treating history as a set of recurring structural patterns — imperial decline, elite fracture, resource competition — rather than a sequence of unique…
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Q&A September 14, 2026
Jiang Xueqin Called Trump's 2024 Win Months Before Election Day
Yes. Jiang Xueqin predicted Donald Trump would win the 2024 presidential election in an April 2024 lecture on his YouTube channel, @PredictiveHistory — seven months before the vote, while most mainstream forecasters were still treating the…
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China to Restrict AI Girlfriends From July 15, Resolving a Jiang Prediction
China will make AI girlfriends and virtual companions largely inaccessible from July 15, the Herald Goa reported on July 7, framing the product category as widespread enough to require regulation. The report resolves prediction P129…
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Iran War Ceasefire Nears After 101 Days With No Nuclear Weapons Used
Donald J. Trump said on June 9, 2026, that a deal to end the Iran War could be signed within two to three days, KCRA reported — a development that came after more than 101 days of conflict with no nuclear weapons used at any point. That…
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War Ends Without US Ground Troops in Iran, Falsifying a Two-Year-Old Jiang Call
CNN reported on June 12, 2026 that the US military had prepared a ground mission to capture Iran's uranium but Donald J. Trump explicitly paused it before it launched, and the conflict has since concluded without American ground forces…
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China Trained Russian Forces for Ukraine, Falsifying Jiang's 2025 Split Forecast
China covertly trained Russian service members who later returned to fight in Ukraine, Reuters reported on May 19, a disclosure that points to deepening military cooperation between Beijing and Moscow rather than the rupture Professor…
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US Strikes on Iran's Water Infrastructure Leave 20,000 Without Water
US strikes on Iran's water infrastructure left approximately 20,000 people without water, WION reported on June 11, 2026. Following that report, prediction P020 — Professor Jiang Xueqin's forecast that attacks on Iran's civilian…
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Russia Issued No Nuclear Umbrella Over Iran, Resolving a Jiang Forecast as Wrong
Reuters reported on March 3, 2026, that Russia characterized US and Israeli strikes on Iran as potentially backfiring — warning that the conflict could push Iran and Arab nations toward acquiring nuclear weapons — rather than issuing any…
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Current Headlines Identify Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader
Multiple current headlines have identified Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s Supreme Leader, the automated fact-checker concluded on May 29, 2026. Following that conclusion, prediction P041 was recorded as confirmed.
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Global Witness Report Resolves Jiang's Venezuela Attack Prediction
Global Witness reported on Jan. 13, 2026, that the United States attacked Venezuela, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that America would attack Venezuela. Following that report, prediction P082 was recorded as confirmed on May…
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Time Magazine Said China Was Sitting Out the War on Iran
Time Magazine described China as sitting out the war on Iran on March 23, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that China would not significantly participate in the Iran conflict. Following that report, prediction P071 was…
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PBS Timeline Shows US-Iran War Lasted Many Weeks
PBS reported on April 21 that Donald J. Trump’s shifting public statements showed the US-Iran war had been underway from late February or March and remained a subject of ongoing or near-resolution discussion in mid-to-late April. Following…
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The Guardian Reported an Iran Campaign Shift, Resolving Jiang's Forecast
The Guardian reported that Donald J. Trump moved from shock-and-awe bombardment to a wait-and-see posture in Iran, resolving Professor Jiang Xueqin's prediction that the doctrine would fail there. Following The Guardian's report…
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Donald J. Trump Won the 2024 Presidential Election, the AP Reported
Donald J. Trump won the 2024 presidential election, the Associated Press reported on Nov. 6, 2024. Following the AP's report, prediction P001 was recorded as confirmed.
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Reuters Reported Donald J. Trump Picked JD Vance as His Running Mate
Reuters reported on July 15, 2024, that Donald J. Trump selected Senator JD Vance of Ohio as his running mate at the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. The report resolved Professor Jiang Xueqin’s prediction that Trump would pick…