Settled: this call is scored in the track record.
P011
The United States will go to war with Iran
Analysis
Three forces push toward war: Israel Lobby (AIPAC + Christian Zionists), Saudi Arabia, and America's addiction to empire. Predicted as early as April 2024 lecture.
Framework behind this prediction
This prediction is a direct application of Jiang's analytical framework:
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Confirmed (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)