← Jiang Predictions
🔥 Evidence Radar
What's moving right now
🔥 0 surging
13 moving
26 quiet
39 tracked
Updated June 29, 2026
🔥 The mover · most active right now
“Nuclear weapons will NOT be used in the Iran war”
↗ moving toward this
The news right now runs toward this happening.
← away · less likelyundecidedmore likely · toward →
Evidence pointing toward it
Also moving this week
“The US-Iran war constitutes World War III”
Our read: Likely Wrong
→Is this world war III?Trinidad Guardian · Jun 28Read
“Russia will win the war in Ukraine”
Our read: Likely Wrong
↘As Ukraine seizes ‘first chance to win’, war horrors come home to RussiaAl Jazeera · Jun 25Read
“The American Empire will fall -- defeat in Iran marks the end”
↗Tucker Carlson: We Have An Unsustainable Empire Not Serving The Interests Of The Republic, The Country ItselfReal Clear Politics · Jun 25Read
“The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon”
↗The Multipolar Moment: Why Declining Hegemony Doesn’t Guarantee a Better WorldModern Diplomacy · Jun 29Read
“Bahrain will be the first GCC country to fall (Shia uprising)”
Our read: Likely Wrong
↗Saudi Arabia Condemns Iran’s Strike on Bahrain but Makes No Defense Pledgehouseofsaud.com · Jun 27Read
“Dubai is dead as a global financial/luxury city in the long term”
↘What can Staten Island learn from a global city like Dubai? A Staten Islander found out during a family visitSILive.com · Jun 27Read
Quiet
26 predictions with no notable news this week
- “Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president” · US Elections
- “Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years” · US Domestic
- “If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages” · US-Iran War
- “The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran” · US-Iran War
- “Saudi Arabia is pushing the US toward war with Iran -- it cannot survive without US fighting Iran for it” · US-Iran War
- “Dubai will go bankrupt” · Middle East
- “The entire GCC (including Saudi Arabia) will eventually collapse” · Middle East
- “Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica)” · Middle East
- “Global surge of anti-Semitism will compel Jews worldwide to return to Israel” · Middle East
- “The world will eventually unite against Greater Israel” · Middle East
- “The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it” · Russia/Ukraine
- “The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle” · Russia/Ukraine
- “NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine)” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Putin is preparing Russia for Total War to reshape Russian society” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Russia will defend Iran -- cannot afford for Iran to fall” · Russia/Ukraine
- “Western Ukraine will become a 'welfare state for the European Union'” · Russia/Ukraine
- “The EU will be dead in about five years (by ~2029)” · Europe
- “Europe becomes pro-Russian after civil wars/revolutions” · Europe
- “Turkey will be drawn into Ukraine war, collapse internally, allow Russia to take control” · Turkey
- “Turkey will collapse as a nation-state after Erdogan leaves power” · Turkey
- “US-China rapprochement (improved relations)” · China
- “America will embargo/blockade China” · China
- “US stock market will collapse as GCC sovereign wealth funds pull out” · Global Economy
- “Christian Zionists will force the US into ground invasion of Iran (fulfilling biblical prophecy)” · Religious/Eschatological