What's moving in Jiang Xueqin's predictions right now

What's moving right now

🔥 0 surging 11 moving 41 quiet 52 tracked

Updated August 12, 2026

🔥 The mover · most active right now

“Nuclear weapons will NOT be used in the Iran war”

↗ moving toward this The news right now runs toward this happening.

← away · less likelyundecidedmore likely · toward →

🔥 6 stories this week

Steady this week

How loud the chatter is — a loud topic is not a likely outcome.

Evidence pointing toward it

Trump claims victory over Iran, but deal is silent on nuclear weaponsThe Washington Post · Jun 16Read
Trump promised no Iranian nukes. His deal may never do that.Politico · Jun 15Read

Also moving this week

“Russia will win the war in Ukraine”

Our read: Likely Wrong

3 this week

↘ against

82% believe in Ukraine's victory, but only 22% expect the war to end by the end of the yearКорабелов.ІНФО · Aug 10Read

“The US-Iran war constitutes World War III”

2 this week

↗ toward

'WW3 Weapons Are Here': Iran Shocks All With Stunning Reveal | 'Our Military Strength Is Intact...'The Times of India · Jul 23Read

“The US will send ground troops into Iran”

Our read: Likely Confirmed

1 this week

↗ toward

President Donald Trump Refuses to Rule Out Deploying US Ground Troops to IranNews On AIR · Aug 10Read

“The American Empire will fall -- defeat in Iran marks the end”

1 this week

↗ toward

This is proof Iran won the warYahoo · Aug 6Read

“US military draft will be reinstated to sustain Iran ground war”

1 this week

• no clear lean

The cost of America abandoning the military draftThe Washington Post · Jun 30Read

“Europe will go to war with Russia”

Our read: Likely Wrong

0 this week

↗ toward

With Russia at the door and the US backing away, Europe has to build its own ‘way of war’ | Nathalie Toccitheguardian.com · Aug 4Read

Quiet

41 predictions with no notable news this week

“Trump will try to stay in office for the rest of his life, possibly running as VP in 2028 with Don Jr. as president” · US Elections
“Second American Civil War is very likely -- a series of violent episodes over 10-50 years” · US Domestic
“If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages” · US-Iran War
“The American/Israeli strategy is to fracture Iran into ethnic enclaves fighting over water” · US-Iran War
“The American strategy of bombs, propaganda, and money will NOT work against Iran” · US-Iran War
“Saudi Arabia is pushing the US toward war with Iran -- it cannot survive without US fighting Iran for it” · US-Iran War
“Dubai is dead as a global financial/luxury city in the long term” · Middle East
“Dubai will go bankrupt” · Middle East
“The entire GCC (including Saudi Arabia) will eventually collapse” · Middle East
“Israel becomes the dominant Middle East power (Empire of Israel / Pax Judaica)” · Middle East
“The Dome of the Rock will be destroyed and the Third Temple built” · Middle East
“Global surge of anti-Semitism will compel Jews worldwide to return to Israel” · Middle East
“The world will eventually unite against Greater Israel” · Middle East
“The Ukraine war will NOT end -- Putin will drag it on without expanding it” · Russia/Ukraine
“The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle” · Russia/Ukraine
“NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine)” · Russia/Ukraine
“Putin is preparing Russia for Total War to reshape Russian society” · Russia/Ukraine
“Russia will defend Iran -- cannot afford for Iran to fall” · Russia/Ukraine
“Western Ukraine will become a 'welfare state for the European Union'” · Russia/Ukraine
“America will retreat from the world and become isolationist” · US Domestic
“The world will become multipolar -- each region has a different hegemon” · Global Order
“North Korea will become much more belligerent against South Korea and Japan” · Global Order
“The EU will be dead in about five years (by ~2029)” · Europe
“Europe becomes pro-Russian after civil wars/revolutions” · Europe