Settled: this call is scored in the track record.
P020
Attacks on Iran's civilian infrastructure (water, dams, power plants) will escalate
What Jiang said
“In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants. The point, the idea is to make Iran so inhabitable that the people will will have to rebel against the people or there'll be a refugee crisis in Iran.”
Analysis
'In the future, you will see attacks on water supply, on dams, on reservoirs, on power plants.' GT#10 describes 'soft targeting' (hospitals, civilian infrastructure) and 'double tap' strategy (strike, wait for responders, strike again) as standard American tactics.
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Partially Confirmed (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)
-
2026-06-12 ·
Partially Confirmed → Confirmed
(glm)
Multiple sources document actual strikes on Iran's water infrastructure with civilian impact (20,000 left without water) and analyses framing infrastructure targeting as escalating, clearly fulfilling the predicted escalation of attacks on civilian infrastructure. · Source: US strikes leave 20,000 without water as fears grow over Gulf infrastructure - WION (Thu, 11 Jun 2026 08:04:00 GMT)