Professor Jiang Xueqin's Geopolitical Predictions
“Welcome to the end of the world.”
— Professor Jiang Xueqin, Predictive History
He called the Iran war, Trump's comeback, and the fall of Khamenei — all on camera, before they happened.
340 predictions. 75% accuracy.
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or browse all 340 predictions →340
Predictions
75%
Accuracy
15
Confirmed
Accuracy Breakdown
Confidence Calibration
Upcoming Predictions (2026-2028)See the full 2026-2027 forecast →
Categories
The frameworks behind the forecasts
See all frameworks →Jiang doesn't forecast by gut feeling — he reasons from a stack of reusable analytical frameworks. These are the 5 named Laws of Game Theory and 7 core models that generate most of his predictions.
Parent law
The Universal Law of Game Theory
Win = Mass × Energy × Coordination
Law 1
The Law of Asymmetry
An empire's strengths become its fatal weaknesses.
Law 2
The Law of Escalation
Control beats dominance — calibration wins wars.
Law 3
The Law of Eschatological Convergence
Where the world's end-time stories agree, the future is written.
Law 4
The Law of Proximity
The game inside a nation decides how it acts toward others.
Model
Energy, Openness & Cohesion
The three traits that decide who rises and who falls.
Model
The Rise and Fall of Empires
The poor margins always conquer a rotten center.
Model
The Chessboard
Read any nation as a six-piece chess set.
Model
The Hollywood–Pentagon Complex
When a country fights for the camera, it forgets how to fight the war.
Model
AI as God — The Holy Empire of Reason
The data-center boom, read as an attempt to build God — and rule through Him.
Model
The Dollar-Empire Grand Bargain
Turning paper into gold is “the power of God” — until the army that backs it is doubted.
Model
Reality as Hallucination
If no one perceives reality directly, then geopolitics is a war of perception.