Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.
P237
Iran will charge tolls for passage through the Strait of Hormuz as part of its war strategy
What Jiang said
“What they're doing now is they're charging tolls um to cross the Strait of Hormuz, okay?”
Analysis
Iran uses military control of Strait of Hormuz strategically, allowing Chinese ships and those who play ball to pass while charging tolls.
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Multiple recent headlines (Iran advancing toll plans, sanctions on crypto exchange linked to Hormuz ship tolls, and discussion of Iran's closure/toll implementation) suggest Iran has moved forward with toll-related actions despite earlier setbacks and Trump's opposition. · Source: Treasury Sanctions Iranian Crypto Exchange Linked To Hormuz Ship Tolls - Northeast Times (Fri, 18 Sep 2026 15:01:03 GMT) -
2026-09-25 ·
Likely Confirmed → Pending
(rejudge:deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Re-checked with the date rule + auditor: auditor: The lecture's own quote describes tolling as already happening ('what they're doing now'), and the cited premise is contextually about wartime tolls, but the actual quote treats it as present-tense fact rather than a war-contingent forecast, and the headlines describe pre-war/peacetime toll proposals and sanctions rather than tolls charged 'as part of its war strategy' during a US-Iran war, so the evidence doesn't bear on the actual forecasted condition. -
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Unverifiable
(manual)
Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-03-26 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. He explicitly says 'What they're doing now is they're charging tolls' using present tense to describe an already ongoing action, not a future prediction.