P236
The Gulf Cooperation Council will cease to be a major geopolitical factor in the Middle East after the US-Iran war

Status: Pending
Predicted
March 2026
Timeline
After US-Iran war concludes
Category
Middle East
Confidence
High

What Jiang said

“The GCC, regardless of what happens, will no longer be a major geopolitical factor in the Middle East anymore. A lot of them will be destroyed because of this war.”

Analysis

GCC states are weak and don't work well together. The war will destroy their relevance as they fracture between Iranian and Israeli alignment.

Source lecture

Status history

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