All predictions · Middle East

P234
Qatar and Oman will align with Iran rather than Israel/US as the Gulf Cooperation Council fractures

What Jiang said

“And what's going to happen is that you might have some places, Qatar and Oman, who choose, you know what? Screw this. We're going to join Iran.”

Analysis

Weak GCC states must ally with strong powers for protection. As US influence wanes, Qatar and Oman will choose Iran over Israel.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #16

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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