Still open: waiting on events (During the war).
P022
Iran's strategy is to lure America into a ground invasion, then fight defensive/guerrilla war in mountains
What Jiang said
“so what Iran needs to do is Trick America into invading Iran and then America would lose for sure”
Analysis
Iran cannot beat America in open warfare. IRGC strategy: provoke through escalation until America invades, then fight defensively in mountainous terrain. GT#10: Iran's strategy is 'hide and seek' — absorb bombing in mountains, then lob drones/rockets at GCC and Israel to force America to come back. 'Iran can do this for years and years.'
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Pending (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)