Still open: waiting on events (During ground invasion).
P014
If the US sends ground troops, it will lose the war catastrophically -- troops become trapped hostages
What Jiang said
“okay so that's a first problem they've been in circle right what's the second problem why not that's right and why else yeah that that that that's right okay um so they failed to mass forces okay Iran is a population of 90 million people you will need at least 3 to four million soldiers to even think about conquering the country they've got 100,000 in this country”
Analysis
Iran is all mountains (natural fortress). ~100,000 US troops encircled, unable to be resupplied, outnumbered vs 90M people. US lacks infantry mass, manufacturing capacity. Historical analogues: Athens/Syracuse, Vietnam. GT#10 adds: 'It is impossible to occupy this country... It is suicidal for the American military to invade Iran.'
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Pending (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)