All predictions · China

P297
China's population will be 600 million by 2100 if current fertility trends continue

What Jiang said

“at this rate, by 2100, China will be at a population of 600 million”

Analysis

China's fertility rate is approximately 1.0, far below replacement rate of 2.1. At this rate, population will collapse from 1 billion to 600 million by 2100.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #1

Status history

• 2026-05-25 · Pending (glm)

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