All predictions · Middle East

P301
Israel will be the dominant country for the next 50 years due to being the only wealthy, high-tech society with above-replacement fertility

What Jiang said

“the country most likely to be dominant for the next 50 years is this country. Israel”

Analysis

Israel is unique: wealthy, Western, high-tech, democratic, open society with fertility rate above 2.1 because existential threat makes children a status symbol/patriotic duty.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #1

Status history

• 2026-05-25 · Pending (glm)

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