Still open: waiting on events (2026-2028).
P194
Russia will militarize its shadow fleet of approximately 1,000 ships with mercenaries and engage America in oceanic warfare over the next 1-2 years
What Jiang said
“Russia will militarize its shadow fleet. Basically, Russia has a shadow fleet of about 1,000 ships. It will provide mercenaries to these and then it will start to engage America in the oceans. The point is not to defeat the American Navy... The point is to create a war of attrition”
Analysis
Russia will create a war of attrition at sea, not to defeat the US Navy but to degrade its capacity over time through sustained conflict, exploiting aging ships and fatigued sailors
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)