P199
Iran-US war will end with both nations achieving their strategic objectives: Iran destroys global economy and removes America from Middle East, while America destroys Iran as a nation-state

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2026
Timeline
2026-2030
Category
US-Iran War
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“At the end of this war, what we can expect is both countries achieve their strategic objectives, okay? Which is to say that America is now out of the Middle East. Um Israel is humbled and the global economy is destroyed. But at the same time, Iran is destroyed as a nation-state”

Analysis

The strategic objectives are not in conflict: Iran wants to destroy global economy and remove America from Middle East, while America wants to Balkanize and destroy Iran - both can happen simultaneously, making peace negotiations impossible

Source lecture

Status history

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