Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.
P156
Jet fuel prices will rise 52% due to the Iran war
What Jiang said
“Uh, jet fuel has grown gone by 52%. So next time you're flying United States, it's going to be a much more expensive ticket.”
Analysis
The war in Iran and resulting energy supply disruption has already caused jet fuel to increase 52%, making air travel significantly more expensive
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Multiple headlines confirm jet fuel prices are rising sharply due to the Iran war and halving airline profits, but no headline specifies the exact 52% figure has been reached. · Source: Airline profits ‘set to halve’ as jet fuel prices soar due to Iran war - Travel Weekly - Home (Mon, 08 Jun 2026 07:00:00 GMT) -
2026-09-25 ·
Likely Confirmed → Pending
(rejudge:deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Re-checked with the date rule + auditor: auditor: The quote describes jet fuel as having 'already' gone up 52% (a past description, not a forecast), and the headlines confirm general fuel price surges/profit hits from the Iran war but never verify the specific 52% figure he claimed already happened. -
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Unverifiable
(manual)
Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-04-21 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. he says 'jet fuel has grown gone by 52%', using present perfect to report an increase that already occurred, not a future prediction.