Leaning, not settled: the evidence points one way, but it is not scored yet.
P155
The US will escalate to bombing civilian infrastructure including bridges, universities, reservoirs, power plants, and desalination plants in Iran war round two
What Jiang said
“if this ceasefire does not work and war um continues, then we we can expect in round two the fighting will get much worse. Okay? Right. So the Americans will start to target civilian infrastructure including bridges, universities, reservoirs, power plants, dissalation plants.”
Analysis
If ceasefire fails, round two will see America target Iranian civilian infrastructure systematically to destroy Iran's capacity as a nation state
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
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2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Trump has explicitly threatened to bomb Iran's power plants and bridges and active strikes are ongoing with disputed claims of civilian infrastructure hits, but confirmed direct US bombing of the listed civilian sites (universities, reservoirs, desalination plants) is not yet clearly verified. · Source: Trump Says U.S. Will Bomb Iran’s Power Plants, Bridges if Tehran Strikes Ships - WSJ (Wed, 22 Jul 2026 07:00:00 GMT)