Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.
P153
The US will impose a naval blockade in the Indian Ocean to cut off China's trade routes from Africa
What Jiang said
“The Americans have recently announced a naval blockade in the Indian Ocean. Okay? So that's kind of your route as well.”
Analysis
The Americans have announced a naval blockade in the Indian Ocean, blocking China's alternative trade route around Africa via Angola and other African nations
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Unverifiable
(manual)
Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-04-21 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. He states the blockade has 'recently' been announced, describing an already-occurring event rather than forecasting a future one.