P134
China will return to isolationist policies and abandon its recent global engagement

Status: Pending
Predicted
May 2026
Timeline
Long-term
Category
China
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“Today yes I understand for these past few decades China has become much more globalized has become much more international much more cosmopolitan but this is not part of the Chinese tradition so what's happening today these past few decades it is an aberration it goes against cultural norms in China but in the long term China will return to its cultural norms and become much more isolationist”

Analysis

China's recent decades of globalization are an aberration from its cultural norms. The Middle Kingdom concept means China sees itself as a universe onto itself and will return to isolationist tradition.

Source lecture

Status history

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