Leaning, not settled: the evidence points one way, but it is not scored yet.
P133
Global famine and ecological disasters will increase over the next few years
What Jiang said
“But over the next few years, we'll discover an increase in famine around the world and an increase in ecological disasters around the world.”
Analysis
Weather patterns are fluctuating toward extreme conditions, making it harder to grow food and access energy. The world will see increasing famine and ecological disasters.
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
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2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Multiple 2026 headlines point to a super El Niño risking record temperatures and pushing 50 million people into acute hunger, alongside ongoing aid cuts worsening child hunger, suggesting a trend toward increasing famine and ecological disasters though the multi-year window remains open. · Source: El Niño could push 50m people into acute hunger before end of next year - The Guardian (Wed, 05 Aug 2026 07:00:00 GMT)