Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.
P123
US treasury rates will rise to 6% or higher as global buyers refuse to purchase US debt
What Jiang said
“So right now 5% it has moved up to 6%. This is this is a disaster for America.”
Analysis
As people refuse to buy US treasuries, interest rates must rise to attract buyers; current 5% moving to 6% is a disaster
Framework behind this prediction
This prediction is a direct application of Jiang's analytical framework:
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Pending (glm)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Unverifiable
(manual)
Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-05-21 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. He states rates 'has moved up to 6%' already, describing a present fact rather than predicting a future rise.