P118
South Korea will lose 80% of its population in 50 years due to 0.81 fertility rate while North Korea will survive with 1.81

Status: Pending
Predicted
May 2026
Timeline
2076
Category
Global Order
Confidence
High

What Jiang said

“In 50 years time, South Korea will lose 80% of its people. North Korea will also lose people. But just if there's no war, eventually South Korea will go to zero and North Korea will still be around.”

Analysis

South Korea's fertility rate of 0.81 vs North Korea's 1.81 means demographic collapse; affects long-term military viability

Source lecture

Status history

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