All predictions · Global Order

P119
Putin's strategy with China is to maintain neutrality - the worst outcome is China siding with US against Russia

What Jiang said

“So he needs China to be neutral. The worst thing that can happen is that China sees Russia as a threat and China, United States got together to defend the system.”

Analysis

Putin knows China will eventually side with America, so aims to keep China neutral in short term rather than as true ally

Source lecture

• Game Theory #27

Status history

• 2026-05-22 · Pending (glm)

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