Still open: waiting on events (5-10 years).
P418
China will face a major messianic/millenarian uprising within 5-10 years due to economic collapse, natural disasters, and the revival of a charismatic leader.
What Jiang said
“I think over the next 5-10 years, you will see a lot of this behavior. And once it starts, it's almost impossible to stamp out.”
Analysis
Jiang compares this to the Taiping Rebellion, seeing economic collapse and natural disasters creating superstitious messianic energy that elites will exploit politically.
Status history
- 2026-09-26 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)