Still open: waiting on events (Next 10 years).
P416
Different Chinese provinces will break away from Beijing's control within the next 10 years due to prolonged political paralysis and economic deterioration.
What Jiang said
“But if things get really bad, then what will happen is these provinces will break away.”
Analysis
Jiang argues that like all empires, Chinese provinces controlled by political cliques will eventually decide it is better to fight than continue under a paralyzed central authority.
Status history
- 2026-09-26 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)