Status: Pending
Still open: waiting on events (By early 2027).

P414
A grand bargain between the US and China will be announced by early 2027 involving China opening its financial markets.

What Jiang said

“It seems I'm wrong about this prediction. It's possible in two, three months time things will change.”

Analysis

Jiang admitted he may be wrong about his prior prediction of a grand bargain because paralysis in China's leadership prevents any controversial decisions.

Status history

  • 2026-09-26 · Pending (deepseek-v4.1-flash)

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