Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.
P246
The US strategy of unsanctioning Iranian oil to keep prices down will backfire by enriching Iran and strengthening its war economy
What Jiang said
“So, the Americans basically unsanctioned Iranian oil, and because of that, the Iranians were were able to make $14 billion just like that. The total Iranian military budget for 1 year is $10 billion.”
Analysis
Iran made $14 billion from unsanctioned oil in just days - more than its entire $10 billion annual military budget.
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Unverifiable
(manual)
Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-03-26 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. The quote only reports what already happened ('were able to make $14 billion') with no forward-looking claim about backfiring or strengthening a war economy stated in his words.