All predictions · US-Iran War

P244
Iran's strategy to force US withdrawal is to cause economic implosion in America through high oil prices, stock market crash, and civil unrest leading to civil war

What Jiang said

“If I crash the stock market, if I cause oil to go way up, if I cause civil discontent in America, this will cause a civil war in America. And then the American military has no choice but to retreat back into America.”

Analysis

Iran cannot defeat US militarily, so it must cause America to implode economically and socially, forcing military retreat to address domestic collapse.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #16

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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