Still open: waiting on events (During US-Iran war).
P244
Iran's strategy to force US withdrawal is to cause economic implosion in America through high oil prices, stock market crash, and civil unrest leading to civil war
What Jiang said
“If I crash the stock market, if I cause oil to go way up, if I cause civil discontent in America, this will cause a civil war in America. And then the American military has no choice but to retreat back into America.”
Analysis
Iran cannot defeat US militarily, so it must cause America to implode economically and socially, forcing military retreat to address domestic collapse.
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)