All predictions · US-Iran War

P245
The Iran war benefits Iran economically by lifting sanctions and embedding it into the global economy, reducing incentive to end the war

What Jiang said

“The more this war keeps on going, the more Iran benefits economically... Iran is now less incentivized to end the war.”

Analysis

Unsanctioning Iranian oil to keep global oil prices down has backfired - Iran now makes billions and is less incentivized to seek peace.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #16

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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