P229
China lacks a grand strategy and will not be a significant factor in future geopolitical developments

Status: Pending
Predicted
March 2026
Timeline
Next several years
Category
China
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“The problem with China, the reason why China has not become the hegemon is that China's not interested in being the hegemon. In other words, military power. Also, as China's is expanding um its manufacturing capacity to the world, who's upset now? The United States, right?”

Analysis

Jiang argues that despite China's economic rise orchestrated by the Bank of International Settlements after 2008, China does not want the responsibility of being global hegemon and lacks coherent long-term strategic vision

Source lecture

Status history

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