P212
China will hoard Tibetan Plateau water during drought, causing conflict with India and Southeast Asia

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2026
Timeline
2026-2035
Category
China
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“If there were a drought using game theory, we can suspect that China might want to keep the water for itself, right? In which case, Southeast Asia and India would be very angry”

Analysis

China sits on fresh water that Southeast Asia and India depend on; using game theory, China would keep water for itself during drought, creating a flashpoint.

Source lecture

Status history

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