All predictions · Global Order

P215
Water scarcity will make North America and Russia the most stable regions, while Africa, Europe, Middle East, and Southeast Asia become conflict zones

What Jiang said

“North America, pretty stable because lots and lots of fresh water...If you're Africa, you're in a lot of trouble. If you're Europe, you're in a lot of trouble”

Analysis

Fresh water maps show North America and Russia are stable while other regions face water scarcity, leading to resource conflicts.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #18

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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