P202
US will lose more aircraft as the Iran war continues due to maintenance issues, pilot fatigue, and Iranian adaptation using heat-seeking missiles
What Jiang said
“As this war progresses, if you insist on fighting a air war, you're going to lose more and more planes as your pilots get tired, as maintenance issues arise, as Iranians become much more creative in their response”
Analysis
The US Air Force is designed for two-week wars, not prolonged conflict; as the war continues, wear and tear, exhausted pilots, and Iranian heat-seeking missile tactics will cause increasing aircraft losses
Source lecture
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)