Still open: waiting on events (2026).
P148
Iran will attack the Red Sea in addition to the Strait of Hormuz
What Jiang said
“And it can also close off the Red Sea. Okay. And it can also target pipelines of natural gas.”
Analysis
In retaliation to US escalation, Iran will expand beyond closing the Strait of Hormuz to also shut down Red Sea shipping routes
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
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2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Multiple headlines indicate Iran/Houthi-linked forces have opened a new front of attacks in the Red Sea/Bab al-Mandeb in addition to Hormuz-related actions, though this is attributed partly to Houthis rather than direct Iranian attacks, so it's not fully confirmed as Iran's own action. · Source: After months on the Iran war’s sidelines, Yemen’s Houthis open a dangerous new front - The Washington Post (Sun, 02 Aug 2026 07:00:00 GMT) -
2026-09-25 ·
Likely Confirmed → Pending
(rejudge:deepseek-v4.1-flash)
Re-checked with the date rule + auditor: re-judged not_yet; no supported lean