All predictions · Global Order

P115
China and Russia will eventually divorce as their long-term interests diverge

What Jiang said

“So that's why the relationship between Russia and China is much more tenuous, much more unstable than people believe it is. In the long term there's eventually going to be a divorce.”

Analysis

China prefers America as global policeman over aggressive Russian neighbors; relationship is temporary alliance of convenience

Source lecture

• Game Theory #27

Status history

• 2026-05-22 · Pending (glm)

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