Status: Unverifiable
Set aside: this claim can't be checked against events, so it is not scored.

P114
China will sell US treasuries to reduce dependence on the US dollar system

What Jiang said

“The Chinese have been selling US dollars, US treasuries. But the Japanese have been increasing buying US treasuries.”

Analysis

China recognizes US dollars are unreliable due to excessive money printing and debt, so will reduce treasury holdings

Status history

  • 2026-05-22 · Pending (glm)
  • 2026-09-25 · Pending → Unverifiable (manual)
    Not a forecast (claim audit 2026-09-26, operator-approved): in the 2026-05-21 lecture Jiang described something already true or under way. He states in present-perfect terms that the Chinese 'have been selling' treasuries, describing an already-ongoing trend rather than forecasting a future action.

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