P075
Japan's economy would collapse in 8-9 months if Strait of Hormuz stays closed

Status: Pending
Predicted
March 2026
Timeline
~Nov-Dec 2026 (if closed from March 2026)
Category
Global Economy
Confidence
High

Analysis

Japan depends on 75% of oil from this route. Japan's PM stated they run out of oil in 8-9 months. Strait closed as of March 2026.

Source lecture

Status history

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