Leaning, not settled: the evidence points one way, but it is not scored yet.
P368
JD Vance will be discarded by Trump well before 2028.
What Jiang said
“Vance will be discarded before well before 2028”
Analysis
Responding to a question about Vance acting as 'Brutus' to Trump, he says Vance isn't positioned for that role and will simply be dropped.
Status history
- 2026-07-18 · Pending (claude_extract)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Wrong
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Recent headlines show Trump actively promoting Vance as his 2028 successor and urging donors to back him, the opposite of discarding him, though the window remains open until 2028. · Source: Trump turns to Vance as his successor and tells donors to back him in 2028: report - The Independent (Thu, 06 Aug 2026 07:00:00 GMT)