Still open: waiting on events (Ongoing/2026-2028).
P364
China will interfere in Taiwanese and Japanese elections, though not in US national elections.
What Jiang said
“Yes, China does have the capacity to interfere in Taiwan elections. Yes, China does have the capacity to interfere in Japanese elections”
Analysis
He distinguishes capacity from intent, arguing China lacks both for US elections but has both for Taiwan and Japan.
Status history
- 2026-07-18 · Pending (claude_extract)