Still open: waiting on events (2026-2027).
P354
The US will engineer Hezbollah's destruction via a Lebanese civil war, with Syria attacking from the north and Israel from the south while Iran's political leadership abandons Hezbollah.
What Jiang said
“Trump wants to create a civil war in Lebanon where Hezbollah is fighting the uh government of Lebanon and then and then the Syrians will attack from the north and the Israelis will attack from the south.”
Analysis
He frames Hezbollah as the sticking point in the Iran-US MOU, with Washington using generous terms to Iran (investment, sanctions relief, unfrozen assets) to create a wedge so Tehran cuts Hezbollah loose while Syria and Israel squeeze it militarily.
Status history
- 2026-07-12 · Pending (claude_extract)