All predictions · US Elections

P273
Democrats will win the 2028 presidential election and bail out the finance/credit bubble, while if Trump wins, the AI bubble will be bailed out instead

What Jiang said

“If the Democrats can win the House and the presidency in the 2028, then the private credit people will get bailed out. But if Trump and his people stay in power in 2028, then the AI people will get bailed out”

Analysis

The finance sector ($2 trillion private credit bubble) backs Democrats and expects a bailout if Democrats win. The AI bubble backs Trump and expects a bailout if he wins. The government can only afford to bail out one sector.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #14

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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