All predictions · Europe

P261
Germany and Russia will go to war against each other for the next 5-10 years before eventually forming an alliance

What Jiang said

“Maybe for the next 5, 10 years, Germany and Russia will go to war against each other, but eventually what the two will figure out is they're better off actually working together than fighting against each other”

Analysis

Germany and Russia will fight each other first, then realize they're better off working together as allies.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #15

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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