Still open: waiting on events (April 2026).
P228
Insider betting on Polymarket indicates ground invasion of Iran has been approved
What Jiang said
“people are making bets, large bets that a grand invasion will happen...this guy bet $200,000 that an a grand invasion will happen and if it turns out an a grand invasion does happen, he will win over a million dollar”
Analysis
Someone with inside information bet $200,000 that a ground invasion will happen, which would win over $1 million - this indicates invasion has been approved.
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)