P219
Ukraine war will continue for another 10-20 years as a slow grind beneficial to Russia

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2026
Timeline
2026-2045
Category
Russia/Ukraine
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“this war can go on for another 10, 20 years. It's a very slow grind and it's good for Russia”

Analysis

Russia still has long way to go after 4-5 years; this long war of attrition allows Russia to industrialize its economy around war production.

Source lecture

Status history

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