Still open: waiting on events (As the US-Iran war continues).
P189
A schism will develop between Iran's political leadership and military leadership (IRGC) that will cause Iran to lose ground in the war
What Jiang said
“The fact that Iran is willing to negotiate a peace treaty probably means that there's a schism or divide between the political leadership in Iran and the military leadership in Iran... Iran will start losing the battle more and more”
Analysis
The fact that Iran is willing to negotiate a peace treaty suggests a divide between political and military leadership; fissures will arise as the US and Israel develop a more coherent strategy
Status history
- 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)