P185
Texas will emerge as the clear winner in any American civil war conflict

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2026
Timeline
During Second American Civil War
Category
US Domestic
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“If you just use our game theory formula, okay, of cohesion, energy, and openness... which state has all three? The answer is Texas. Texas will emerge as a clear winner in any conflict”

Analysis

Texas has the most cohesion, energy, and openness of all 50 states; California and New York will suffer greatly in the civil war

Source lecture

Status history

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