Still open: waiting on events (After Putin's death).
P049
Russia will fall apart after Putin dies -- civil war among rival generals
What Jiang said
“eventually Putin is goingon to die you understand eventually he's going to die and then what's going to happen the country is going to fall apart because it's a warrior culture and you have these different generals fighting each other for total control it's going to be civil war”
Analysis
Warrior culture requires a king. Putin is irreplaceable. After death, rival generals fight for control. Putin's legacy = Putinism as ideology, not strong Russia.
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Pending (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)