All predictions · Russia/Ukraine

P049
Russia will fall apart after Putin dies -- civil war among rival generals

Analysis

Warrior culture requires a king. Putin is irreplaceable. After death, rival generals fight for control. Putin's legacy = Putinism as ideology, not strong Russia.

Source lectures

• Geo-Strategy #9
• Geo-Strategy Update #7

Status history

• 2026-05-22 · Pending (migration)

Related predictions

• P048'Putinism' (continuous war ideology) will become the dominant global ideology for 50 years Pending
• P047Putin is preparing Russia for Total War to reshape Russian society Likely Confirmed
• P046NATO will eventually send its own troops to fight Russia (in Ukraine) Pending
• P045The war in Ukraine will shift to Odessa -- final NATO-Russia battle Pending
• P053America will retreat from the world and become isolationist Pending