All predictions · Middle East

P031
The entire GCC (including Saudi Arabia) will eventually collapse

Analysis

GCC depends on imports for 80% of food, desalination for water (easily destroyed by cheap drones), economically exposed by Strait closure.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #9

Status history

• 2026-05-22 · Pending (migration)

Related predictions

• P030Dubai will go bankrupt Pending
• P029Bahrain will be the first GCC country to fall (Shia uprising) Likely Wrong
• P028Dubai is dead as a global financial/luxury city in the long term Pending
• P027Iran will attack GCC countries (Dubai, Bahrain, Qatar) when war begins Confirmed
• P026Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz Confirmed