All predictions · Middle East

P026
Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz

Analysis

Once population's will to fight is high enough, Iran closes the strait. This strangles GCC economies and Japan.

Source lectures

• Geo-Strategy Update #7
• Game Theory #9

Framework behind this prediction

This prediction is a direct application of Jiang's analytical framework:

Status history

• 2026-05-22 · Confirmed (migration)

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