Still open: waiting on events (As the Ceuta crisis deepens, likely within 1-2 years).
P384
Vox leader Santiago Abascal will replace Pedro Sánchez as Spain's Prime Minister as the migrant crisis worsens.
What Jiang said
“I think there's a very good chance that he comes into power, especially as this migrant issue becomes worse.”
Analysis
Jiang says destabilizing Sánchez's government is a deliberate objective of the American/Israeli strategy, and that Abascal would reverse Spain's current policies and effectively make it a US client state.
Status history
- 2026-08-02 · Pending (claude_extract)
-
2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Wrong
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Sánchez remains PM amid protests and migration controversy, with no election or no-confidence vote having removed him, suggesting Abascal's rise to PM is not materializing despite tensions. · Source: WATCH: Spain's PM Pedro Sanchez tells VOX leader 'I may be a dog but, unlike you I have no master' during Ceuta row - Olive Press News Spain (Wed, 09 Sep 2026 07:00:00 GMT) -
2026-09-25 ·
Likely Wrong → Pending
(rejudge:deepseek-v4.1-flash)
Re-checked with the date rule + auditor: re-judged not_yet; no supported lean