Still open: waiting on events (~2031).
P377
China's fertility rate will fall below South Korea's within five years.
What Jiang said
“I think like in five years time uh the Chinese fertility rate is going uh be lower than uh South Korea”
Analysis
Citing South Korea's fertility rate of ~0.6 versus China's ~1, Jiang argues China's demographic collapse is accelerating faster than commonly assumed and will overtake South Korea's decline within five years.
Status history
- 2026-07-21 · Pending (claude_extract)